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FWDDemo Premier LeagueCroatia25 years

Adam Ximenes

Brackenford · #18 · XIM2

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Estimated market value

€42.2m

Model range
€25.8m – €58.6m
Confidence
62%
Season change
+19.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
+7.9%
Last 4 matchweeks
+1.0%
Season to date
+19.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€32.4m
  • Age+€3.09m
  • League€0
  • Position+€2.68m
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played79% · 1703 of 2160

21 appearances, 20 starts, 3 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€42.2mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€46.4m+€4.22m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€50.6m+€8.44m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€38.0m−€4.22m · −10.0%
  • One year older€39.1m−€3.14m · −7.4%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €42.2m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat73
  • Chance creation67
  • Finishing72
  • Defending65
  • Availability86

Above average goal threat forward (73th percentile), with above average finishing (72th). Played 79% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Adam Ximenes index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricAdam Ximenes
Goals61st
Expected goals57th
Shots on target76th
Assists67th
Expected assists69th
Key passes63rd

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.26
  • Assists0.21
  • Shots3.3
  • Shots on target0.9
  • Key passes1.5
  • Expected goals0.22
  • Expected assists0.19
  • Tackles0.5
  • Interceptions0.5
  • Clearances0.6

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Adam Ximenes cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.2+0.4+0.6+0.8Matchweek

Scoring 0.84 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Idris OkaforJarrowgate88%€37.1m18shots on target, expected assists
Zeki XimenesGranthorpe87%€14.2m24interceptions, goals
Omar UgartePendlebury85%€20.7m25shots on target, expected goals
Diogo WhitlockLangmere83%€179k32assists, expected assists
Adam ZielinskiEastmarsh81%€24.1m31expected goals, goals
Goran OkaforIlkeston Park81%€48.0m23assists, tackles

Match log

21 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv HollinwellW 3190105.01.00.770.063.01.00.00.0
2316 Janv FallowfieldL 0590001.00.00.020.103.01.00.00.0
229 Janv Deepdale ValeW 2190003.01.00.030.040.00.01.01.0
212 Janv AshcombeW 2190002.01.00.010.071.00.01.01.0
2026 Decat StanmoorW 2090014.01.00.040.653.01.01.01.0
1919 Decat QuarrydaleW 2065003.00.00.000.061.00.00.01.0
1812 Decat OakhurstL 0290004.01.00.010.061.01.00.01.0
175 Decat Marsden CrossL 0190004.00.00.010.082.01.00.01.0
1628 Novat KelsfordL 1270113.02.00.730.702.00.01.00.0
1521 Novat Ilkeston ParkD 1172002.00.00.010.090.00.01.00.0
1414 Novat GranthorpeW 1030001.00.00.020.001.00.00.00.0
137 Novat EastmarshD 0061001.00.00.010.070.00.01.01.0
1231 Octat CalderbrookL 2490014.01.00.040.691.00.01.00.0
1124 Octat ThornesideL 0290002.00.00.050.080.01.00.00.0
1017 Octat RookwoodL 0163003.01.00.010.012.01.00.00.0
726 Septat LangmereL 0490003.01.00.050.022.00.01.01.0
512 Septat HollinwellL 2590205.03.01.460.070.01.01.00.0
45 Septat FallowfieldD 1190013.01.00.030.652.00.00.01.0
329 Augat Deepdale ValeD 2290004.01.00.050.000.01.00.01.0
222 Augat AshcombeL 1282102.01.00.770.042.00.00.01.0
115 Augv StanmoorW 2190004.01.00.040.062.01.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.