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DEFDemo Premier LeagueSweden22 years

Gabriel Whitlock

Thorneside · #4 · WHI5

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Estimated market value

€11.5m

Model range
€7.63m – €15.3m
Confidence
72%
Season change
+26.5%

Movement

Last matchweek
−5.1%
Last 4 matchweeks
−1.5%
Season to date
+26.5%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€5.74m
  • Age+€2.63m
  • League€0
  • Position−€591k
  • Availability−€320k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played69% · 1490 of 2160

18 appearances, 15 starts, 6 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€11.5mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€12.6m+€1.15m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€13.8m+€2.29m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€10.3m−€1.15m · −10.0%
  • One year older€10.9m−€593k · −5.2%
  • Fully available€12.0m+€529k · +4.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate—

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €11.5m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat48
  • Chance creation70
  • Finishing46
  • Defending6
  • Availability75

Above average chance creation defender (70th percentile). Defending is the clear gap at the 6th percentile. Played 69% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Gabriel Whitlock index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricGabriel Whitlock
Tackles12th
Interceptions19th
Clearances7th
Goals67th
Expected assists80th
Key passes45th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.06
  • Assists0.12
  • Shots0.2
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.1
  • Expected goals0.06
  • Expected assists0.08
  • Tackles1.7
  • Interceptions1.3
  • Clearances1.7

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Gabriel Whitlock cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.0−0.00.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.00 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Cillian XimenesIlkeston Park77%€7.54m29shots on target, clearances
Lucas ToureenMarsden Cross77%€510k30key passes, clearances
Bertrand DelgadoKelsford76%€4.03m20tackles, clearances
Elias SalvatoreThorneside76%€15.6m19key passes, expected goals
Bertrand DelgadoEastmarsh74%€1.72m35interceptions, expected goals
Pedro UgarteRookwood74%€11.3m31expected assists, assists

Match log

18 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat Ilkeston ParkL 1–258000.00.00.000.000.01.01.00.0
229 Janat EastmarshD 1–190010.00.00.000.621.03.02.01.0
2026 Decat AshcombeW 3–090000.00.00.000.010.00.01.03.0
1812 Decv PendleburyL 1–290000.00.00.010.000.02.01.04.0
175 Decv NorthfleetW 4–290102.02.00.950.010.03.01.00.0
1628 Novv LangmereW 5–190001.00.00.000.010.02.02.02.0
1414 Novv HollinwellW 3–090010.00.00.000.631.03.03.00.0
137 Novv FallowfieldW 2–068000.00.00.000.010.02.01.01.0
1231 Octv Deepdale ValeW 2–090000.00.00.010.000.02.03.02.0
1124 Octv BrackenfordW 2–090000.00.00.010.000.00.00.04.0
1017 Octv StanmoorW 1–090000.00.00.000.000.01.01.00.0
910 Octv QuarrydaleW 1–090000.00.00.000.010.01.01.02.0
726 Septv Marsden CrossD 1–190000.00.00.010.000.00.02.04.0
619 Septv KelsfordW 2–090000.00.00.000.010.02.00.00.0
512 Septv Ilkeston ParkW 2–181000.00.00.010.000.01.00.01.0
329 Augv EastmarshW 2–090000.00.00.000.000.03.01.01.0
222 Augv CalderbrookL 0–256000.00.00.000.010.01.00.01.0
115 Augv AshcombeD 2–257000.00.00.000.010.01.01.02.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.