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FWDDemo Premier LeagueNetherlands29 years

Emil Abbott

Ashcombe · #20 · ABBO

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Estimated market value

€8.07m

Model range
€4.09m – €12.1m
Confidence
43%
Season change
−5.2%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+12.5%
Season to date
−5.2%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€6.91m
  • Age−€1.15m
  • League€0
  • Position+€960k
  • Availability−€2.64m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played25% · 543 of 2160

8 appearances, 6 starts, 16 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€8.07mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€8.88m+€807k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€9.69m+€1.61m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€7.27m−€807k · −10.0%
  • One year older€6.89m−€1.18m · −14.6%
  • Fully available€12.7m+€4.65m · +57.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €8.07m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat37
  • Chance creation39
  • Finishing19
  • Defending96
  • Availability13

Elite defending forward (96th percentile). Finishing is the clear gap at the 19th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 25% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Emil Abbott index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricEmil Abbott
Goals32nd
Expected goals47th
Shots on target36th
Assists52nd
Expected assists46th
Key passes20th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.17
  • Assists0.17
  • Shots2.5
  • Shots on target0.7
  • Key passes1.2
  • Expected goals0.19
  • Expected assists0.14
  • Tackles0.5
  • Interceptions1.0
  • Clearances0.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Emil Abbott cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.12 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Wilson ArdalDeepdale Vale82%€4.98m32shots, tackles
Hugo VasquezKelsford82%€35.5m25tackles, expected assists
Diogo KovacGranthorpe81%€23.8m27shots on target, shots
Adam ToureenThorneside81%€3.40m20expected assists, shots
Diogo KovacBrackenford80%€11.3m22expected goals, goals
Adam IbarraNorthfleet80%€9.99m25interceptions, clearances

Match log

8 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janat Deepdale ValeW 1090012.00.00.010.702.00.01.01.0
212 Janat BrackenfordL 1290104.02.01.010.012.01.01.01.0
1919 Decat StanmoorL 0290002.01.00.020.010.00.01.01.0
175 Decat QuarrydaleL 0173002.00.00.030.070.01.01.01.0
137 Novat Marsden CrossL 0190002.01.00.020.032.00.01.00.0
1124 Octat KelsfordD 2214000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
83 Octv HollinwellL 0290003.00.00.030.041.01.01.01.0
329 Augat CalderbrookL 036000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.