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FWDDemo Premier LeagueGermany25 years

Hugo Vasquez

Kelsford · #19 · VAS8

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Estimated market value

€35.5m

Model range
€19.9m – €51.1m
Confidence
53%
Season change
+10.3%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−2.5%
Season to date
+10.3%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€28.2m
  • Age+€2.75m
  • League€0
  • Position+€2.39m
  • Availability−€1.81m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played59% · 1273 of 2160

16 appearances, 13 starts, 8 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€35.5mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€39.0m+€3.55m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€42.6m+€7.10m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€31.9m−€3.55m · −10.0%
  • One year older€32.9m−€2.64m · −7.4%
  • Fully available€40.2m+€4.74m · +13.4%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €35.5m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat41
  • Chance creation40
  • Finishing46
  • Defending57
  • Availability65

Above average defending forward (57th percentile). Played 59% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Hugo Vasquez index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricHugo Vasquez
Goals48th
Expected goals56th
Shots on target20th
Assists42nd
Expected assists43rd
Key passes30th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.21
  • Assists0.14
  • Shots2.6
  • Shots on target0.6
  • Key passes1.3
  • Expected goals0.21
  • Expected assists0.13
  • Tackles0.5
  • Interceptions0.4
  • Clearances0.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Hugo Vasquez cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.2−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.06 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Adam ToureenThorneside85%€3.40m20expected assists, interceptions
Emil AbbottAshcombe82%€8.07m29tackles, expected assists
Diogo KovacBrackenford82%€11.3m22shots, shots on target
Omar DahlbergNorthfleet82%€137k35assists, expected assists
Diogo KovacGranthorpe81%€23.8m27goals, key passes
Diogo VasquezLangmere80%€754k33goals, assists

Match log

16 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janv PendleburyW 4190104.02.00.890.061.00.01.01.0
229 Janv NorthfleetD 1190011.00.00.020.642.01.00.01.0
212 Janv LangmereW 2066002.00.00.020.021.00.00.00.0
2026 Decv JarrowgateW 6090204.03.01.790.032.00.01.01.0
1812 Decv FallowfieldL 1290013.00.00.020.663.00.00.01.0
175 Decv Deepdale ValeW 1055002.00.00.020.040.00.00.01.0
1521 Novv StanmoorL 1273002.00.00.010.021.01.00.01.0
1414 Novv QuarrydaleL 0190003.01.00.030.001.01.01.01.0
1231 Octv Marsden CrossD 1190003.00.00.010.042.00.00.01.0
1124 Octv AshcombeD 2290002.00.00.010.031.01.00.01.0
83 Octat EastmarshL 1290002.01.00.010.080.01.00.00.0
619 Septat ThornesideL 0290004.00.00.040.060.00.01.01.0
45 Septat PendleburyL 0490002.01.00.040.031.01.01.00.0
329 Augat NorthfleetL 1459002.00.00.020.051.01.00.00.0
222 Augat LangmereL 1230000.00.00.000.030.00.00.00.0
115 Augat JarrowgateL 0290001.00.00.010.052.00.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.