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FWDDemo Premier LeagueWales32 years

Emil Okafor

Ilkeston Park · #20 · OKA7

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Estimated market value

€1.65m

Model range
€1.01m – €2.30m
Confidence
62%
Season change
−10.8%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+4.3%
Season to date
−10.8%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€127k
  • Age−€2.01m
  • League€0
  • Position+€440k
  • Availability−€906k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played36% · 769 of 2160

10 appearances, 8 starts, 14 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€1.65mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€1.82m+€165k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€1.99m+€331k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€1.49m−€165k · −10.0%
  • One year older€1.27m−€387k · −23.4%
  • Fully available€2.33m+€672k · +40.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €1.65m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat46
  • Chance creation85
  • Finishing51
  • Defending21
  • Availability28

Strong chance creation forward (85th percentile). Defending is the clear gap at the 21th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 36% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Emil Okafor index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricEmil Okafor
Goals58th
Expected goals59th
Shots on target40th
Assists95th
Expected assists95th
Key passes48th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.23
  • Assists0.35
  • Shots2.6
  • Shots on target0.7
  • Key passes1.4
  • Expected goals0.22
  • Expected assists0.26
  • Tackles0.2
  • Interceptions0.0
  • Clearances0.1

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Emil Okafor cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.10 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Bertrand CastileKelsford83%€56.0m19tackles, goals
Dmitri JokinenRookwood83%€2.33m32interceptions, goals
Finn YilmazBrackenford80%€10.8m26interceptions, clearances
Dmitri UgarteStanmoor79%€6.23m21interceptions, key passes
Elias AbbottQuarrydale78%€12.0m33key passes, expected assists
Rafael OkaforOakhurst77%€10.9m22interceptions, assists

Match log

10 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
229 Janv PendleburyL 1290003.01.00.040.081.00.00.00.0
212 Janv NorthfleetW 1090102.01.00.870.032.00.00.00.0
2026 Decv LangmereL 1319000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
1414 Novv StanmoorW 4130000.00.00.010.030.00.00.00.0
137 Novv QuarrydaleL 0190003.01.00.030.050.00.00.01.0
1017 Octv KelsfordW 1090003.01.00.020.021.01.00.00.0
619 Septat CalderbrookL 1290003.00.00.010.031.00.00.00.0
512 Septat ThornesideL 1290013.01.00.030.683.00.00.00.0
222 Augat NorthfleetW 2190011.00.00.010.662.00.00.00.0
115 Augat LangmereW 3190114.01.00.880.662.01.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
9 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.