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FWDDemo Premier LeagueIreland25 years

Andre Ximenes

Northfleet · #20 · XI13

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Estimated market value

€2.55m

Model range
€1.51m – €3.58m
Confidence
59%
Season change
−23.7%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−6.5%
Season to date
−23.7%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€1.53m
  • Age+€613k
  • League€0
  • Position+€533k
  • Availability−€1.07m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played36% · 788 of 2160

11 appearances, 8 starts, 13 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€2.55mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€2.80m+€255k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€3.05m+€509k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€2.29m−€255k · −10.0%
  • One year older€2.36m−€189k · −7.4%
  • Fully available€3.55m+€1.00m · +39.4%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €2.55m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat62
  • Chance creation92
  • Finishing21
  • Defending60
  • Availability29

Elite chance creation forward (92th percentile), with above average goal threat (62th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 21th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 36% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Andre Ximenes index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricAndre Ximenes
Goals76th
Expected goals84th
Shots on target22nd
Assists94th
Expected assists91st
Key passes82nd

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.34
  • Assists0.34
  • Shots2.5
  • Shots on target0.6
  • Key passes1.7
  • Expected goals0.37
  • Expected assists0.25
  • Tackles0.6
  • Interceptions0.3
  • Clearances0.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Andre Ximenes cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.3−0.2−0.1−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.24 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Goran OkaforIlkeston Park82%€48.0m23key passes, goals
Diogo WhitlockLangmere81%€179k32tackles, goals
Wilson XimenesCalderbrook80%€42.2m27goals, key passes
Lucas MoreauRookwood79%€42.1m19tackles, shots on target
Adam ZielinskiEastmarsh76%€24.1m31tackles, key passes
Zeki GallagherLangmere76%€10.4m34clearances, assists

Match log

11 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janat Marsden CrossL 1434001.00.00.000.001.00.00.01.0
2026 Decat GranthorpeW 2190104.01.01.010.041.01.00.01.0
1812 Decat CalderbrookL 0190002.01.00.040.052.00.00.01.0
1231 Octv JarrowgateW 3190003.00.00.040.051.01.00.00.0
1017 Octv FallowfieldW 2071103.02.01.020.062.00.00.01.0
726 Septv StanmoorW 2190002.00.00.010.052.00.01.01.0
512 Septv OakhurstL 0131001.00.00.010.001.00.00.00.0
45 Septv Marsden CrossW 1090002.00.00.040.010.01.01.01.0
329 Augv KelsfordW 4122000.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0
222 Augv Ilkeston ParkL 1290001.00.00.040.012.01.00.00.0
115 Augv GranthorpeW 6090133.01.01.021.903.01.01.01.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.